New York Times
2023-08-19 07:25:45 UTC
Bill Clinton started the Iqar war to distract attention from his rape
of Monica.
Reprinted with permission of the New York Times, January 30, 1998of Monica.
Saddam Hussein must go. This imperative may seem too simple for some
experts and too daunting for the Clinton Administration. But if the
United States is committed, as the President said in his State of the
Union Message, to insuring that the Iraqi leader never again uses
weapons of mass destruction, the only way to achieve that goal is to
remove Mr. Hussein and his regime from power. Any policy short of that
will fail.
The good news is this: The Administration has abandoned efforts to win
over the Iraqi leader with various carrots. It is clear that Mr. Hussein
wants his weapons of mass destruction more than he wants oil revenue or
relief for hungry Iraqi children. Now the Administration is reportedly
planning military action - a three- or four-day bombing campaign against
Iraqi weapons sites and other strategic targets. But the bad news is
that this too will fail. In fact, when the dust settles, we may be in
worse shape than we are today.
Think about what the world will look like the day after the bombing
ends. Mr. Hussein will still be in power - if five weeks of heavy
bombing in 1991 failed to knock him out, five days of bombing wont
either. Can the air attacks insure that he will never be able to use
weapons of mass destruction again? The answer, unfortunately, is no.
Even our smart bombs cannot reliably hit and destroy every weapons and
storage site in Iraq, for the simple reason that we do not know where
all the sites are. After the bombing stops, Mr. Hussein will still be
able to manufacture weapons of mass destruction. Pentagon officials
admit this.
What will President Clinton do then? Administration officials talk of
further punitive measures, like declaring a no-fly zone over all of
Iraq, or even more bombing. But the fact is that the United States will
have shot its bolt. Mr. Hussein will have proved the futility of
American air power. The United Nations inspection regime will have
collapsed; American diplomacy will be in disarray. Those who opposed
military action all along - the Russians, French and Chinese - will
demand the lifting of sanctions, and Mr. Hussein will be out of his box,
free to terrorize our allies and threaten our interests.
Mr. Hussein has obviously thought through this scenario, and he likes
his chances. That is why he provoked the present crisis, fully aware
that it could lead to American bombing strikes. He has survived them
before, and he is confident he can survive them again. They will not
succeed in forcing him to abandon his efforts to obtain weapons of mass
destruction. The only way to remove the threat of those weapons is to
remove him, and that means using air power and ground forces, and
finishing the task left undone in 1991.
We can do this job. Mr. Husseins army is much weaker than before the
Persian Gulf war. He has no political support beyond his own bodyguards
and generals. An effective military campaign combined with a political
strategy to support the broad opposition forces in Iraq could well bring
his regime down faster than many imagine. And Iraqs Arab neighbors are
more likely to support a military effort to remove him than an
ineffectual bombing raid that leaves a dangerous man in power.
Does the United States really have to bear this burden? Yes. Unless we
act, Saddam Hussein will prevail, the Middle East will be destabilized,
other aggressors around the world will follow his example, and American
soldiers will have to pay a far heavier price when the international
peace sustained by American leadership begins to collapse.
If Mr. Clinton is serious about protecting us and our allies from Iraqi
biological and chemical weapons, he will order ground forces to the
gulf. Four heavy divisions and two airborne divisions are available for
deployment. The President should act, and Congress should support him in
the only policy that can succeed.
https://carnegieendowment.org/1998/01/30/bombing-iraq-isn-t-enough-pub-27
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